Jannik Sinner vs Nicolas Jarri Australian Open prediction, odds, pick

Australian Open 2025 begins with Janiko Siner defending his championship in 2024 as the top seed. Sinner won two major championships on hard courts last year, winning the Australian and US Open. Carlos Alcaraz won this year’s clay court tournament at Roland Garros and the race at Wimbledon. Sinner and Alcaraz, who are poised to create the next great rivalry in men’s tennis, have swept the 2024 tournament together, denying Novak Djokovic a major trophy last year. Can Sinner and Alcaraz do it again? We’ll find out soon enough.

The sinner labors under a burden. The World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA) closely monitored the substances used by Sinner. He tested positive for the anabolic steroid, clostebol, last March. The findings showed that the substance was present in a low enough amount that it did not constitute a legitimate performance-enhancing substance. However, the substance is on the banned list, raising the possibility that Sinne could face a lengthy ban.

The issue surrounding Sinner has many layers, but one of the central and more powerful points of story debate is that Sinner gets some leniency that other, lower-ranking players don’t and haven’t gotten. Grešnik is not treated unfairly, but many of his fellow professionals are. That inconsistency has become a major source of discussion in the tennis community. Sinner will try to block this distraction in Australia as he tries to defend his title, but there is a debate in April where these issues will be weighed publicly. This could easily become something that gets in the way of Sinner’s mental preparation for his title defense.

Sinner’s first round opponent, Nicholas Jarry, is a talented player who hits the ball hard. The sinner likes pace, so in a tactical or stylistic matchup this is a favorable matchup for him. However, Jerry has a lot more game than the typical first round opponent. This is not an easy match for Sinner.

Here are the Sinner-Jarri Australian Open oddscourtesy of FanDuel.

Australian Open odds: Sinner-Jarri odds

Game Range:

Sinner -8.5 (-122)
Jarry +8.5 (-110)

Moneiline:

Sinner -8000

Jarry +2200

To win the first set:

Sinner -950

Jarry +610

Total matches in the match:

Over 29.5 (-106)
Under 29.5 (-126)

Total games won:

Sinner over 18.5 (-142)
Sinner under 18.5 (+106)

Jarry over 10.5 (-112)
Jarry under 10.5 (-118)

How to watch the Australian Open

Time: approx. 10:00 PM ET/7:00 PM PT (depends on length of previous match)

TV: ESPN2, ESPN Plus

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Why Jannik Sinner will win

Jannik Sinner is currently the best male hard court player in the world. Carlos Alcaraz is really good on clay and also on grass. Novak Djokovic won Olympic gold on clay last August. Sinner, however, holds trophies at two major hardcourt tournaments in Australia and New York. He is number 1 in the world for a reason. If he is mentally relaxed, it will be really hard for anyone to beat him.

Why Nicholas Jerry will win

Jerry can hit the ball and knock Sinner off balance. This is a first round match, so Sinner could try to ease into the tournament and play this match at half or three-quarter speed. He could be ambushed if he isn’t ready to match Jari’s intensity from the start.

Final Sinner-Jarri Prediction & Pick

Jarry will keep this match pretty close. Take Jarry.

Final Sinner-Jarri Prediction & Pick: Jarri +8.5