Emma Navarro vs Daria Kasatkina Australian Open prediction, odds, selection

Emma Navarro takes on Daria Kasatkina at the 2025 event Australian Open. Our Australian Open quota series has our Navarro-Kasatkin forecast, odds and picks. Learn how to watch Navarro-Kasatkina.

Emma Navarro dug very deep to defeat multiple major finalist Ons Jabeur in the third round of the Australian Open. Navarro won more three-setters in this tournament. He seems to be in his comfort zone when the match goes on. At just 23 years old, Navarro has plenty of energy and is ready as a fiddle. Still, she’s older than the teenagers still learning the ropes on the tour. She is at the age where a tennis player knows enough to be smarter, but is still young enough to be faster and more athletically dynamic than some opponents. Navarro needs to take advantage of this sweet spot and find a way to make his first Grand Final.

Her opponent is also thinking about a first major final. Daria Kasatkina has never gone that far in her career. At 27 years old, there is a little more urgency to record that career achievement before he turns 30 and potentially loses his stride.

This match has all the makings of an extended battle. Both players are tenacious competitors who will fight for every point and force the opponent to hit the extra ball. You won’t be surprised to see how much this match is priced in the markets below:

Here are Navarro-Kasatkina Australian Open oddscourtesy of FanDuel.

Australian Open odds: Navarro-Kasatkin odds

Game Range:

Navarro +0.5 (-120)
Kasatkina -0.5 (-110)

Moneiline:

Navarro -110

Kasatkina -110

To win the first set:

Navarro -108

Kasatkina -114

Total matches in the match:

Over 21.5 (-124)
Under 21.5 (-108)

Total games won:

Navarro over 12.5 (+114)
Navarro under 12.5 (-148)

Kasatkina over 12.5 (+114)
Trotter under +12.5 (-152)

How to watch the Australian Open

Time: TBA

TV: ESPN2, ESPN Plus

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Why Emma Navarro will win

Emma Navarro devises ways to win. She made the semi-finals of the US Open last September and has carried her mentality into the bigs in January 2025. Would you really want to bet against her in this situation? Not that Kasatkina has done significantly more than Navarro in her career, all things considered. No women made it to the grand final. Both reached one semi-final. Navarro should not be seen as an inherently underdog player. This is a tie, but Navarro has played better in the big matches over the last few months. That is important.

Why Daria Kasatkina will win

Daria Kasatkina is a veteran, 27 years old. She has a few more years of experience than Emma Navarro and can use that experience in stressful situations to end up winning what on paper looks like a 50-50 matchup.

Finale Navarro-Kasatkina Prediction & Pick

In our ClutchPoints Emma Navarro vs Ons Jabeur previous tennis betting preview, we wrote the following: “Markets view this game as a virtual toss. If you think this match is as close as the spread suggests, betting three sets makes sense. This means that every prop won in multiple games is a decent game. What you also get from winning over games, however, is that if the match only goes to two sets but includes one tiebeaker or 7-5 set, the over can still hit. Navarro won 6-4, 7-5, still hitting the end.”

Navarro won 15 games in the three-set match. Our Navarro won the game in over 12.5 games.

This Kasatkini match is priced almost the same as the Jabeur match, a practical toss in line with the markets with very large payouts for the moneyline, first set, game spread and game props. Considering all the realities and possibilities of a tennis match, betting on a three-set match — regardless of which player wins — gives you a combination of margin and price. No need to go anywhere else with your bet.

Navarro-Kasatkin final prediction and selection: Navarro over 12.5 games won