Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa Australian Open Prediction, Odds, Pick

Coco Gauff he plays Paul Badoz in the 2025 quarterfinals Australian Open. Our Australian Open series odds has our Gauff-Bados forecast, odds and picks. Learn how to watch Gauff-Bados.

The quarter-finals are here at the 2025 Australian Open. We could have a well-known meeting in the later stages of the women’s tournament Down Under. Last year she faced Coco Gauf Arina Sabalenka in the semi-finals. We could get the same match in Melbourne 2025 if Gauff beats Paula Badosa and Sabalenka wins a quarter-final against Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova. Sabalenka is the big favorite in her match. Gauff isn’t as much of a favorite, but he’s still the market’s clear choice over Badosa, who is the 11th seed in this tournament and among the top 15 players in the world. It is a match where Gauf is expected to win, but not necessarily easily.

This match between Coco Gauff and Paula Badosa is not that different from what we just saw in the fourth round between Gauff and Belinda Bencic. Gauff is the younger player in the match, but her mental toughness and problem-solving skills are highly advanced, better than most players on the women’s tour. Gauff could lose a set, like she lost to Bencic, but Gauff has a way of focusing more on her defense, returning balls and making it difficult for her opponent to beat her. Great tennis defenders make a fundamental statement to their opponent: “You’re going to have to hit six, seven, eight high-quality shots on every point to beat me.” You might hit the eighth shot for the winner, but not until I get seven balls back. I will make you earn it.” That’s what Gauff does.

In one set, an opponent can stay hot and outwork Gauff, but if you do it for three full sets, there is a chance that the athlete will burn out, lose focus, and fall off the pace. Being accurate in a short burst is doable; being accurate over 2.5 hours is much harder to do. Gauff worries that if she occasionally stumbles or falters, she will regroup and force her opponent to beat her. Generally, this does not happen. It’s up to Paula Badosa to find enough consistency to get the job done over two full sets.

Here’s Gauff-Bados Australian Open oddscourtesy of FanDuel.

Australian Open odds: Gauff-Bados odds

Game Range:

Gauff -4.5 (-124)
Badosa +4.5 (-108)

Moneiline:

Gauff -365

Badosa +285

To win the first set:

Gauff -270

Badosa +210

Total matches in the match:

Over 20.5 (-116)
Under 20.5 (-116)

Total games won:

Gauff over 12.5 (-104)
Gauff under 12.5 (-128)

Bados over 9.5 (-108)
Badosa under 9.5 (-124)

How to watch the Australian Open

Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT

TV: ESPN2, ESPN Plus

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Why Coco Gauff Will Win

Gauff is a better, tougher, more proven player. She might lose one set, but would you really bet on her losing two sets? Badosa is a very good player, but she hasn’t achieved what Gauff has. Gauff has better results in major tournaments and that cannot be ignored.

Why Paula Badosa will win

This is a very winnable game for Badosa. Gauff lost the first set to Belinda Benčić before moving on to the second and third sets. Badosa, if she manages to win the first set of this match, could shut down an opponent who has been solid but not spectacular in this tournament.

Final Gauff-Bados prediction and selection

We lean towards Gauff, but the spread is well calibrated and we think you should pass this matchup.

Final Gauff-Badosa Prediction & Pick: Gauff -4.5