Brest vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Odds, Champions League Selection 2025

Two teams that want to secure a place in the knockout round face off as hosts Brest Real Madrid. Time to get on with ours Champions League quotas series with forecast and selection Brest-Real Madrid.

Brest enters the game 4-1-2 in Champions League play, which currently puts them in 13th place. They are behind Bayer Leverkusen on goal difference for a direct place in the round of 16 and three points off fifth place. However, with 13 points, they secured a place in the knockout round. They struggled in their last UCL game, going down 2-0 to Shakhtar Donetsk. However, they have been solid at home, with two wins and a draw in UCL play.

Meanwhile, Real Madrid is 4-0-3 in Champions League play. They have also secured a place in the knockout rounds, but are currently in 16th place. They are just one point behind Bayern Leverkusen in eighth place and automatically into the last 16, but they need a win and help to get there. They are coming off two straight wins in UCL play and last time out they dominated Salzburg, winning the game 5-1.

Here is Brest-Real Madrid odds for the Champions Leaguecourtesy of FanDuel.

Champions League odds: Brest-Real Madrid odds

Brest: +650

Real Madrid: -270

Draw: +420

Over 3.5 goals: +118

Under 3.5 goals: -144

How to watch Brest vs Real Madrid

Time: 3:00 PM ET/ 12:00 PM PT

TV: Paramount+

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Why Brest will win

Brest has scored 1.43 goals per game so far in the Champions League. They have scored in five of their seven matches so far this year. They have been strong at home so far in UCL play, scoring 1.33 goals per game at home, but have scored in all three home matches so far.

Abdallah Sima led in the UCL game for Brest. He enters the game having scored three goals in just four starts and a total of six appearances, averaging almost a goal per 90 minutes. He has three goals and two assists in Ligue 1. Meanwhile, Ludovic Ajorque led the domestic championship. He has seven goals and an assist. He has yet to score in UCL play but has two assists. Finally, Mahdi Kamara has three goals in Ligue 1 play and also has a goal in UCL play.

Brest was strong in defense in the UCL game. They have conceded just eight goals in seven games, good for just 1.14 per game. Furthermore, they have conceded just two goals at home so far in three games in UCL play. They have two clean sheets in the Champions League this year, the latest being a 1-0 home win over PSV.

Why Real Madrid will win

Real Madrid have scored very well in UCL play so far. In their seven matches, they have scored in five of them, scoring 17 goals. That’s good for 2.43 goals per game so far in UCL play. They were not so good on the road in terms of goals. Although they average a goal per game away from home in UCL play, they have failed to score in two of their three games. All three away goals came in a 3-2 win over Atalanta. However, Atalanta conceded only four goals in total.

Kylian Mbappe leads the way for Real Madrid. Although he has 15 goals and two assists in La Liga, he only has three goals and an assist in UCL play. The main goal threat in the UCL game was Vinicius Junior. Junior has seven goals and an assist, while in La Liga he has eight goals and five assists. Finally, Jude Bellingham has scored seven goals with six assists in the domestic league and has a goal and three assists in UCL play so far.

Real Madrid have conceded a lot of goals so far in UCL play. They conceded 12 goals in their seven matches. They have conceded a goal in all seven games so far. They have also been slightly better at home, conceding just five goals in three away games.

Final Brest-Real Madrid Prediction and Selection

With both teams having already secured places in the knockout rounds, there is nothing to play for either team. Brest has a stronger reason to get an automatic bid for the round of 16. However, they would have to win, and five other teams would either lose, or add them to the goal difference. The passage of five teams, including Aston Villa and Bayer Leverkusen will be difficult. With Brest most likely fine with a draw in this game, while playing against Real Madrid who struggle to score on the road and a strong Brest defence, expect a low scoring game.

Final Brest-Real Madrid Prediction and Pick: Under 3.5 (-144)