Baylor vs Arizona State prediction, college basketball odds selection

It’s time to continue our college basketball odds series with the Baylor-Arizona State prediction and pick. Learn how to watch Baylor-Arizona State.

This is one of the more interesting conference games on Saturday in college basketball. There is a lot to enjoy in this game. It feels mysterious and uncertain and unpredictable, which, as a fan or analyst, is fresh and exciting. As a bookie, it’s a different story. Bettors need to think long and hard about whether they want any play in this game. Let’s explain why this game is so complicated in terms of the betting angle.

Baylor is 2-1 in the Big 12, Arizona State is 1-2. You might think that Baylor is naturally the better team, especially when you add in the reality that Baylor won the national title in 2021 and was the No. 1 seed in 2022 and went on to make the NCAA Tournament with relatively high seeds. Arizona State, in stark contrast, barely makes the NCAA Tournament when it does, and struggles to win NCAA Tournament games. Baylor has a much greater pedigree and a far higher level of growth and overall accomplishments over the past few years. It’s logical to think Baylor and coach Scott Drew will find answers that ASU and coach Bobby Hurley won’t. These programs have inhabited different worlds in terms of college basketball success and national prominence.

However, when you take a closer look at these two teams, they really aren’t that different, and Arizona State shouldn’t automatically be assumed to be the inferior side. Both teams are 10-4, and both have lost Big 12 road games by an exact score of 74-55. Baylor is 2-1 in league play, but those two wins were at home and one loss was on the road. Arizona State is 1-2 in the Big 12, but two of the losses were on the road and one of the wins was at home. Both teams’ Big 12 home wins have been by at least 20 points. Their road losses are 19 or more. It really could be as simple as this: Baylor and Arizona State are good home teams and not-so-good road teams in Big 12 play. Heading into the season, do you want to trust Baylor’s pedigree, or do you want to lean on home court in the Big 12? Not such an easy decision, is it?

Here’s Baylor-Arizona State College basketball oddscourtesy of FanDuel

College basketball odds: Baylor-Arizona State odds

Baylor: -3.5 (-102)

Moneilines: -154

Arizona State: +3.5 (-120)

Moneiline: +128

Over: 142.5 (-115)

Under: 142.5 (-105)

How to watch Baylor vs. Arizona State

Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30 PM PT

TV: ESPN Plus

*Watch college basketball LIVE with fuboTV (Get Access | Save $30)*

Why Baylor will cover the spread/win

ASU has been good at home, but the Sun Devils were crushed in the second half by Kansas the other day. Even though that game was on the road, it showed how weak the Sun Devils are. Despite being at home, the Sun Devils don’t deserve that doubt. Two big losses in Big 12 play convey the reality that ASU is inconsistent and will let games slip away if they start going in the wrong direction.

Why Arizona State will cover the spread/win

Arizona State beat Colorado by 20 at home. The Sun Devils host a Baylor team that lost by 19 at Iowa State and hasn’t proven it can handle a Big 12 road trip. ASU is getting – not giving up – points. ASU loses three cash on your ticket if you support the Devils. It’s attractive.

Baylor-Arizona State final prediction and pick

We strongly believe that ASU keeps this game very close and could win. We’ll happily take ASU plus points at home.

Final Baylor-Arizona State Prediction & Pick: Arizona State +3.5