Suns vs. Wizards prediction, odds, pick, spread
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The Suns have been inconsistent this year, but the Wizards have been terrible this season coming into this matchup. It’s time to continue our NBA odds series with Suns-Wizards prediction and pick.
The Suns have disappointed almost as much as last year. They are 19-20 despite being loaded with stars like Devin Booker, Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal, and are coming off a loss that ended a recent three-game winning streak. The Suns can get back on track in this matchup against a team that has struggled as much as the Wizards have this season, even with the game on the road.
The Wizards were among the worst teams in the NBA this year. Their keys are Jordan Poole and Kyle Kuzma, thanks to them being the only consistent pieces in an otherwise struggling offense. They sit at 6-32 and enter this game on a seven-game losing streak. They can still pull off a big win against a Suns team that has talent but has lacked consistency all year.
Here is the Suns-Wizard NBA oddscourtesy of FanDuel.
NBA odds: Suns-Wizards odds
Phoenix Suns: -11.5 (-110)
Moneilines: -670
Washington Wizards: +11.5 (-110)
Moneiline: +490
Over: 231.5 (-108)
Under: 231.5 (-112)
How to watch Suns vs. Wizards
Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
TV: MNMT2/AZ family
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Why the Suns could cover the spread/win
The Suns’ offense has been good, but should still be much better because of their talent level. They are 14th in points per game at 112.5 points, 10th in field goal percentage at 47.3%, and sixth in three-point shooting at 37.6% from behind the arc. Six Suns average over double digits. Kevin Durant was the best offensive player with 27.2 points per game. Devin Booker is just behind with 24.9 points per game. Booker also leads the team in assists with 6.9 per game. Booker and Durant make up this entire offense and get a great matchup against the worst defense in the NBA, the Wizards. They should score easily in this game.
The Wizards offense has struggled this season. They are 25th in scoring at 108.3 points per game, 29th in field goal percentage at 44.2% from the field and 29th in three-point shooting at 33.8% from behind the arc. Then, seven Wizards players are averaging double figures in scoring, with Jordan Poole leading the team with 21.5 points per game. Poole also leads the team in assists with 4.8 per game. Poole is the spark plug that gets this offense going, and then he gets the next big boost from Kyle Kuzma on the wing. Not much after that, but they should find some success against a Phoenix Suns defense that is worse than expected, especially at home.
The Wizards defense has been terrible this season. They are 30th in scoring at 122.6 points per game, 23rd in field goal percentage at 47.5%, and 21st in three-point field goal percentage at 36.4%. Jonas Valanciunas leads the team down low in the frontcourt. He leads the team in rebounding with 8.1 rebounds per game. Then, incoming freshman Alexandra Sarr leads the team in blocks with 1.6 per game. Finally, three players are averaging at least one steal per game, with Poole leading the way with 1.5 per game. This defense was bad, and it’s a bad matchup against a Suns offense that should have no problem scoring in this game. This defense is a big weakness in this game.
Why the Wizards might cover the spread/win
The Suns defense has been wildly inconsistent. They are 19th in points allowed, at 113.7 points per game, 15th in field goal percentage, 46.3%, and 18th in three-point field goal percentage, 36.2%. Jusuf Nurkic is the leading rebounder with 9.2, but there’s a chance he’ll miss a game, so Mason Plumlee and Durant have more attention down low, with 6.5 and 6.4 rebounds per game, respectively. Durant also leads the team in blocks, with 1.3 per game. Finally, three Suns are averaging at least one steal, with Booker leading the way with 1.2 per game. The Suns have the athletes on paper to play good defense, but the pieces aren’t working, making this a bad matchup.
Final Suns-Wizards Prediction & Pick
The Suns are easily the better team in this matchup. The Wizards are awful and are rolling into this matchup. Poole and Kuzma are solid, but not enough to match Durant, Booker and Beal. The Suns should dominate this game. Their offense can score from anywhere on the court, and this defense should do enough to slow the Wizards down the road. The Suns should win and easily win this matchup because even when the Suns struggle with consistency, they are easily better than the Wizards.
Final Suns-Wizards Prediction & Pick: Phoenix Suns -11.5 (-110)
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2025-01-16 18:14:00